I have a 15K BTU and a 12K Fujitsu cold weather mini split, the bigger one downstairs in the small “great room” and the smaller one upstairs in the bedroom. They are about 5 years old now, so they may be superseded by slightly more efficient models, not sure. We got them for shoulder season and AC, and they are perfect for that. (Used to be that in Vermont nobody had air conditioning, and now everyone needs it). Both AC and efficiency for heating in temps above 40 are amazing, quite cheap to run. As it starts to get below 30, they struggle to provide the comfort of the woodstove and we start to feel like making fires. They save us from making countless small fires in shoulder season, on days when we wouldn’t run the stove all day. We have had some brutal heat waves every summer since getting them, and they have saved our butts.
Partly this is the nature of mini splits in a not-superinsulated house to be less comfortable in real cold. The air in the room stratifies. Warm air rises, and the mini split head units are up by the ceiling. That is the temperature they sense and run by. So you can set it for 70, and it’s 70 at the unit, but not 70 in my chair. So it becomes a bit of a moving target to find a temp setting that will provide comfort. At our electric rates, $.22/kwh, the mini splits are cheaper to run than purchased cordwood down to I guess about 30 or 35 degrees (COP 3.5 anyway). Below that and they are more expensive to run than purchased firewood. I’ve been cutting my own firewood for the last years, so I should figure firewood is either more expensive or less expensive, depending on how I feel like valuing my time. Mini splits are cheaper than oil heat down to about 5F and then the expense of running them goes up and they can’t meet demand so well anymore. Before I got the Progress Hybrid I used them to dovetail with the old wood stove, and used them at night, set to 66. They could usually hold 66 in here down to 5F or so. At 0F and below, I shut them off and used strictly wood and oil, both of which are cheaper and more effective, but the mini splits running hard at that temp do a brave job. These units can still provide 12k and 15k of heat respectively all the way down to -15F. But at that temp I need more than 15k of heat anyway, and they are less efficient.
The other thing that happens with mini splits as the temps get below freezing, depending on humidity, is that the outdoor units freeze, so they have to go through a thaw cycle. This has some hit on efficiency, but it also means there is a gap in heating for that 10 or 15 minute period (I’ve never timed it). In real cold, that is something you feel.
Overall, getting the mini splits along with a heat pump hot water heater (which replaced a hot water system run from the oil boiler) has cut our oil bill by $600 or more per year.
Since I got this much better wood stove, I have not used the mini splits at all. It is only just breaking 32F for the first time. Tomorrow I’ll let the stove go cold and run the mini splits — empty the ash pan and clean the glass.