The scientific hypothesis that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for first global cooling, then global warming and now climate change is in my opinion not close to a proven fact and one day the evidence will show that trillions were wasted and many lives lost trying to control the temperature of the earth by limiting our output of the life giving gas CO2.
Not looking to offend anyone.
Aside from the science and the politics is history.
1.
As soon as scientists figured out the nature of heat and light, and developed instruments for measuring them (which was in late 1800s) they figured out that the amount of sunlight hitting and absorbed by the earth was not sufficient to account for its warm temperature. If all the heat radiated to space through a transparent atmosphere, the average temperature of the earth would be about 30-35°C colder than it is, and the Earth would be frozen over completely.
Those same scientists in the 1800s figured it out, they measured the IR absorbance of the atmosphere, and found that it blocked just enough heat to account for the anomaly, to within some uncertainty.
In other words, the existence of the Greenhouse Effect, and its role in warming the earth by a rather large amount ~50°F has been scientifically accepted for more than a century. The relevant calculations are given as homework problems in college-level physics classes.
The math of the claim is simple. CO2 is a major contributor to that +33°C warming of the Earth (its IR absorbance is easily measurable). The estimate being about 25% of the total IR blocking, or about +8°C of the warming. The amount of CO2 in the Earths Atmosphere has DOUBLED since the pre-industrial level (the level has been and is measured directly). Combining these two facts, we could imagine that the effect of such doubling (already completed) would be an extra +8°C of warming! But it is obvious that the effect of adding CO2 is **sub-linear**, increasing CO2 by x% increases the temp by a LOT less than x% of 8°C. This is bc of diminishing returns. When we increase the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, much of the IR/heat was already blocked by the CO2 that was there before. So, rather than a naïve 8°C warming, doubling CO2 only leads to about 1°C warming. Estimates in the 1970's were 1.5-3°C. Estimated in the 2000s were 1-1.5°C. Current estimates are right around 1°C, which matches what is currently observed on global-decadal average, to within uncertainty. There is no scientific case for the correct answer being +0°C.
Thats it. This HUGE 8°C climate effect from CO2, even when CO2 is doubled, is a rather small 1°C, bc the Earths climate system is remarkably stable to perturbation.
2.
In the 1970s there was a minor prediction of an impending Ice Age (or global cooling) which was popularized by a cover article in Time magazine, during a period of unusually cold winters, in order to sell magazines. Data from ice cores and computer models of the earths orbit and tilt (which drive periodic ice ages) were relatively new then, and some researchers were making their prediction based upon this new science. It had nothing to do with global warming. It was also never accepted by the scientific community. Were it not for a single Time article, which was subsequently blown up by Climate Deniers to make climate science seem less certain than it it, this little 1970s hypothesis would be completely forgotten.
Ironically, the best of these model predict that we SHOULD be in an Ice Age now. This is taken by Deniers as evidence that the models are flawed (despite capturing over 100,000 years of climate DATA from ice cores, up to a few thousand years ago). The current hypothesis is that increased CO2 and methane in the atmosphere (which started a few thousand years ago) are the source of the difference. These gases are attributed to human activity: deforestation of Europe for agriculture (CO2) and the mass cultivation of rice in Asia (methane). IOW, humans have been warming the climate for millennia.
3.
The change in language from 'Global Warming' to the more general (and ambiguous) 'Climate Change' was started as a euphemism by Climate Deniers. Who then subsequently accused scientists of changing the terminology to cover the supposed fact that warming had not been observed. In reality, warming matching modern models HAS been observed and scientists have been referring to the phenomenon as Anthropogenic Global Warming AGW for years.
4.
It is now known that scientists at Exxon Research (the Bell Labs for polymer and chemical engineering) in the 1970s, building computer models determined that burning all the recoverable oil on the planet (as estimated at that time) would wreck the climate. That is, that their parent companies' business model would eventually endanger life on a global scale. The response by Exxon mgmt was to bury the result and hire the **exact same** legal firms and ad companies--who previously had argued that the science of tobacco causing cancer was not settled--to make similar arguments against climate science. Complete with a small number of science shills who they could quote. By the early 2000s, Multiple US congressmen were proffering this pseudo-science on the floor of the Capitol, blocking renewable energy and climate science. All of these congressmen were heavily funded by Oil Companies. By 2010 the Oil companies, faced with lawsuits and rebellion from their own share holders, and a raft of new climate science models and a clearly warming planet, threw in the towel and stopped funding Climate Denial campaigns and their paid congressmen.
5.
In 2020 The Climate Denial movement is widely understood to be a massive, corporate paid disinformation campaign. The buying of congresspeople is seen as a disgraceful example of crony capitalism in US govt, on a par with Tobacco in the 1980s. Surveys of people around the world show that Climate Denial ideas are only believed by a non-trivial fraction of people in a handful of countries....Russia, The Persian Gulf States and the US. The fact that all of these countries are the biggest oil producers....probably a coincidence.