Falling further behind

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begreen

Mooderator
Staff member
Hearth Supporter
Nov 18, 2005
111,130
South Puget Sound, WA
It' really sad to see the US falling further behind in EV development. On a global basis, it's reported that one in 4 new cars are now EVs. The NYT posed the question

“The American EV Has Been Crushed. Will it Take Down the US Auto Industry With it?”

The industry did a very costly about face in the past year and a half. It's questionable whether it will survive. Detroit produces no sedans, the staple of fleet and rental car sales. Locally, over half of the cars I see on the road are not US made. Meanwhile, the rest of the world is moving rapidly to EVs. With high fuel prices, this can't happen soon enough. But US car manufacturers pulled the plug on EVs in early 2025.
“The way I’d put it,” the auto journalist Martin Padgett told me recently, “is that we pulled a U-turn while the rest of the world was pushing forward.”

"According to the International Energy Agency, a Paris-based policy group, one of every four vehicles sold globally in 2025 was battery-powered. Analysts with Bloomberg have predicted that in the next decade, that number will more than double, putting gas-powered cars — for the first time ever — in the minority of overall new vehicle sales. Overseas, Asian and European manufacturers have spent years preparing for this eventuality, dumping billions into the development of battery technology. With predictable results: China now makes 75 percent of all E.V.s sold anywhere on earth. (The United States makes around 5 percent.) Many of those vehicles are produced by BYD, a Chinese company that recently became the largest manufacturer of battery-powered cars in the world.

“Already, the technological gap is getting dangerously wide,” says Stephen Ezell, a senior economist with the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, or I.T.I.F., a Washington-based nonprofit. “Today, China can get a new E.V. from blueprint to launch about 33 percent faster than a U.S. company, give or take. But that will accelerate, right? The speed of innovation, the speed of the production cycles at these foreign companies, is just going to get faster and faster. And at some point, the gap will get pretty close to fully impossible for American automakers to close.”"

 
It is sad - but then again, hasn't that been the story of the US Auto Industry for more of our lives?

When I started driving (1969) there was still a certain sense of awe about American cars. My besties spoke about "442" like it was the Lord Himself. MPG was not even considered....although, I have to admit, putting 50 cents worth in my 1959 VW Convertible (my parents bought that rustbucket for my 16th B-Day)....and getting to the beach and back (120 miles total) was pretty neat!

Years later we got lucky and a neighbor who was a BigWig at Subaru (HQ is in SJ) sold us a demo....that was the first car of any newer vintage we ever owned (1978). By that time MPG was already a big deal.

For those who care about the History there is a really amazing book - well, there are dozens about Detroit and many about our Industry here in the States.


I have pivoted back and forth on many of these topics - because I started out thinking that mostly individual actions and outlooks is the way to solve things...then I changed to thinking that technical improvements would. Now I am back mostly to the first....of course, engineering solves problems, but in order to be "greener" (hey that is someones name!)...one has to pick the Hybrid Camry (52+ MPG) or a Bolt (4 MPKwh at times)...and not want the E-Hummer, etc. (using that as silly example).

To the point itself about EV's - yes, first is customer demand. In the US you cannot easily force consumers into making decisions. But this is so much bigger due to the whole question of where the Electric comes from.

I try to look at the "pain points" and determine why we do the things we do! Think about this - in the USA, it's possible you will pay $1 for the same gallon of gas that I pay $8 for. Of course, I am not talking gasoline, but rather Electricity......to me the first step would be to have both renewable and inexpensive (relatively) electric.

And yet, this hardly ever comes up in the discussions. It's weird. Gasonline, in general, can differ in price by 20-30%.
Electric? 800% or more. One person might pay 4 cents a KWH for nightime charging and another (me!) pays .33 cents.

Even very simple actions - by consumers - can at least head us in a direction. Folks with a light foot are getting 38 MPG in a Toyota Grand Highlander (a car for a family!).....many other cars in that size range get 22-24 if you are lucky. Not only do consumers save money and pollution, but they save a lot of money also. The Perfect is always the enemy of the Good. Even in that areana - why aren't American makers creating the top hybrid engines? (Greely in China is). It seems like we just gave up.

"Geely achieved a world record for mass-production engine thermal efficiency at 48.41% with its i-HEVintelligent hybrid system, delivering an exceptional fuel economy equivalent to roughly 106 mpg (2.22 L/100km)."