Norway on track to reach 100% EV sales in the next 2 years

  • Active since 1995, Hearth.com is THE place on the internet for free information and advice about wood stoves, pellet stoves and other energy saving equipment.

    We strive to provide opinions, articles, discussions and history related to Hearth Products and in a more general sense, energy issues.

    We promote the EFFICIENT, RESPONSIBLE, CLEAN and SAFE use of all fuels, whether renewable or fossil.
Status
Not open for further replies.
Ok did it catch fire or trap you inside randomly? If it had electric latches did you notice the manual overide lever?
 
As a petroleum chemist, I am all in for protecting the environment. But I see some disadvantages of electrical vehicles.
Lithium for the batteries is in very limited supply. The largest reserve is in Afghanistan. Not easy to get your hands on.
The warranty for the batteries is limited to 150k miles. Batteries are very expensive. A guy in Finland was charged $22,000 for new batteries after his Tesla was no longer under warranty.
EV's catch fire frequently. This month already 3 in The Netherlands. Lithium batteries produce Oxygen, so these fires are impossible to put out.
Mining Lithium is very environmentally unfriendly. To produce the batteries, harsh chemicals are needed and they end up in our soil and water.
Sorry, Jan, but with all respect, this is mostly not true. EVs don't catch fire that frequently. Actually, I think ICE vehicles do more often. Batteries can be expensive or not so expensive. It depends on the size, the car design, a rebuild, etc. Siting the extreme case does not make the norm. Afghanistan is not even in the top six countries for lithium. They are Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, the US, Australia, and China.
 
Sorry, Jan, but with all respect, this is mostly not true. EVs don't catch fire that frequently. Actually, I think ICE vehicles do more often. Batteries can be expensive or not so expensive. It depends on the size, the car design, a rebuild, etc. Siting the extreme case does not make the norm. Afghanistan is not even in the top six countries for lithium. They are Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, the US, Australia, and China.
But when they do….
That’s the point.
 
I don’t want to or intend to argue with you for the piss of it. I respect you.

How do you know your information isn’t compromised?
Just something to think about.
So the ntsb is in on this now as well? It isn't my info it is the only hard data to go by
 
Obviously it didn’t , but why can’t you even allow yourself to think objectively?
I am not the one that regrets any data you don't want to believe simply because it doesn't align with your preconceived notions
 
I think I replied and it got deleted that EV’s are new and ice is old and more popular.
It’s like comparing Denmark to the states.
Ok we are talking about percentages though not straight numbers. So yes of course there will be far more ice fires because there are far more ice vehicles. But that isn't what we are saying. Now the numbers are still a bit misleading because there are lots of ice vehicles that are much older than EVs on the road. But still it's not like EVs pose a huge risk of fire.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TWilk117
The scientific method has gone out the windows
No it really hasn't there are just allot of people who now choose to no longer believe in the scientific method.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TWilk117
Sorry, Jan, but with all respect, this is mostly not true. EVs don't catch fire that frequently. Actually, I think ICE vehicles do more often. Batteries can be expensive or not so expensive. It depends on the size, the car design, a rebuild, etc. Siting the extreme case does not make the norm. Afghanistan is not even in the top six countries for lithium. They are Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, the US, Australia, and China.
Last week I was visiting the Aberdeen Proving Grounds, a military facility researching fuels and energy resources. They told me, based on 2022 research data that Afghanistan is the Saudi Arabia of Lithium. I agree that the countries you list have a lot of Lithium, but information from Afghanistan has not been reported recently in mainstream media, but that doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
 
Last edited:
Hydrogen has the future. The first semi's are already on the road fueled by Hydrogen. Oil companies are constructing Hydrogen plants all over the place. In my industry, we use Hydrogen as a carrier gas in instruments (gas chromatographs). People who tell me they will use Nitrogen or Helium because Hydrogen is dangerous, I respond to like: it is not, people who misuse Hydrogen make it dangerous.
I don’t think so. To be efficient from a power stand point a fuel cell vehicle will still need a small battery. Think of it as a hybrid. Once you put a battery in why not just charge it at home? Hydrogen combustion is DOA due the fuel density and they face that a fuel cell is 2x as efficient as a hydrogen combustion.

Electric infrastructure is in a place. Hydrogen could’ve be a fleet fuel.
 
Last week I was visiting the Aberdeen Proving Grounds, a military facility researching fuels and energy resources. They told me, based on 2022 research data that Afghanistan is the Saudi Arabia of Lithium. I agree that the countries you list have a lot of Lithium, but information from Afghanistan has not been reported recently in mainstream media, but that doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
The nature of many mineral deposits is that they are found where we have looked. And we haven't looked everywhere yet.

Until recently, lithium was a small commodity with a small market. On the earth, it is quite common.


More abundant than copper or zinc.

Now that the demand and price of Li is up, they are finding it everywhere. There are closed mines in the US and S. America. They didn't close bc they didn't have lithium, or bc they had mined all of it. They closed bc some other miner undercut them on the market and put them out of business. These can all reopen.

Also, hydrogen fuel cells? They need a lot of platinum group metals, which are at the bottom of that abundance chart, way below lithium and the 'rare earths'.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ashful and SpaceBus
Worse in a crash because of the violent fire aspect and possibly being locked inside because the doors and locks are electric.
And ICE vehicles never have fires? Ever heard of the "Jaws of life"? Plenty of ICE vehicles have their doors locked closed in accidents. Hell, I've locked my keys in the car while it's running as a teenager!

I naturally disagree wit your last statement. Just a gut feeling because I’ve seen so many electric bike and vehicle fires on my feed.
Your echo chamber/social media feed is not an accurate source of data. The feed does not show you the 200,000+ ICE vehicles that catch on fire every year. In 2018 there were 355 fatalities from vehicle fires.

I don’t want to or intend to argue with you for the piss of it. I respect you.

How do you know your information isn’t compromised?
Just something to think about.
How do you know that your information isn't compromised? What makes you so sure?


Let's put the EV fire stuff to rest, it's a non issue:

"A recent study conducted by AutoInsuranceEZ using data from the NTSB (National Transportation Safety Board) showed that electric cars in the US caught fire at a rate of 25.1 per 100,000 sales compared to 1,530 for ICE vehicles and 3,475 for hybrids."

 
  • Like
Reactions: EbS-P
The misinformation continues. This may be useful:

 
And ICE vehicles never have fires? Ever heard of the "Jaws of life"? Plenty of ICE vehicles have their doors locked closed in accidents. Hell, I've locked my keys in the car while it's running as a teenager!


Your echo chamber/social media feed is not an accurate source of data. The feed does not show you the 200,000+ ICE vehicles that catch on fire every year. In 2018 there were 355 fatalities from vehicle fires.


How do you know that your information isn't compromised? What makes you so sure?


Let's put the EV fire stuff to rest, it's a non issue:

"A recent study conducted by AutoInsuranceEZ using data from the NTSB (National Transportation Safety Board) showed that electric cars in the US caught fire at a rate of 25.1 per 100,000 sales compared to 1,530 for ICE vehicles and 3,475 for hybrids."

There is a larger risk offer a salt water flooding event. The plan in Florida was tow all the flooded cars near water and have an equipment ready to push them in if they caught fire.

I will totally choose an EV for its safety. Many of the high profile fires it was clear excessive speed was the cause of the accident. Occupants survival in an ICE wreck of that nature would be slim too. Time for safe escape is probably more in an EV than an ICE ruptured gas tank and hot engine/exhaust components.
 
  • Like
Reactions: SpaceBus
There is a larger risk offer a salt water flooding event. The plan in Florida was tow all the flooded cars near water and have an equipment ready to push them in if they caught fire.

I will totally choose an EV for its safety. Many of the high profile fires it was clear excessive speed was the cause of the accident. Occupants survival in an ICE wreck of that nature would be slim too. Time for safe escape is probably more in an EV than an ICE ruptured gas tank and hot engine/exhaust components.
Hard to think of a 100+ MPH capable vehicle with a large vessel filled with volatile toxic liquids as safe by any measure! Not to say lithium chemistry is without risks, but as you said, it can be mitigated much more easily than ICE vehicles. At least if you push an EV into a river there will be much less environmental damage compared to dumping a flaming ICE into a river!
 
The fire thing is just the grasping of straws, by those wanting to defend their v8's. Yes, BEV's occasionally catch on fire. So do ICE's, and we've always known that. If I'm given a choice between one of my large-displacement ICE's and a BEV in a 100+ MPH crash, I honestly might choose the BEV. At least the AWD (why would you not buy dual motor?!?) will help with a little pre-collision deceleration, and their mass favors your conservation of momentum.

The one valid point on this subject is that the per-capita incidence of fires starting randomly overnight in your garage, while your family is asleep above, seems to be presently much higher with overnight charging of BEV's. Yes, ICE's also occasionally catch on fire while doing nothing in a garage (ironically, often caused by the battery), but the incidence of that seems to be much lower. I am sure that will be resolved in time, in fact I think the likelihood of that happening on cars produced today is already much lower than those produced 6 years ago.
 
Last edited:
The fire thing is just the grasping of straws, by those wanting to defend their v8's. Yes, BEV's occasionally catch on fire. So do ICE's, and we've always known that. If I'm given a choice between one of my large-displacement ICE's and a BEV in a 100+ MPH crash, I honestly might choose the BEV. At least the AWD (why would you not buy dual motor?!?) will help with a little pre-collision deceleration, and their mass favors your conservation of momentum.

The one valid point on this subject is that the per-capita incidence of fires starting randomly overnight in your garage, while your family is asleep above, seems to be presently much higher with overnight charging of BEV's. I am sure that will be resolved in time, in fact I think the likelihood of that happening on cars produced today is already much lower than those produced 6 years ago.
A very large amount of questionable opinions in this thread but I can agree with this.

A detached garage would be my preference for this, simply by nature your ICE in a garage doing nothing has to be safer (without external factors) than charging something, car, battery, etc.
 
Some high rise buildings with underground parking are banning EVs from parking there. Probably directed so by their insurers.
 
The fire thing is just the grasping of straws, by those wanting to defend their v8's. Yes, BEV's occasionally catch on fire. So do ICE's, and we've always known that. If I'm given a choice between one of my large-displacement ICE's and a BEV in a 100+ MPH crash, I honestly might choose the BEV. At least the AWD (why would you not buy dual motor?!?) will help with a little pre-collision deceleration, and their mass favors your conservation of momentum.

The one valid point on this subject is that the per-capita incidence of fires starting randomly overnight in your garage, while your family is asleep above, seems to be presently much higher with overnight charging of BEV's. I am sure that will be resolved in time, in fact I think the likelihood of that happening on cars produced today is already much lower than those produced 6 years ago.
I think EVs burning in garages is also a non-issue. Fires from electrical malfunctions not related to cars are much higher. Plus people tend to (improperly) store volatiles in their garages, which exacerbate any fire. There are roughly 6,500 garage fires annually. Apparently garage fires are responsible for the majority of home fires, but we all know the overwhelming majority of garages in the US don't have EVs in them. It seems that only 63% of garages actually have cars regularly parked inside. There were 276 million vehicles on the road in the US in 2022, 1.7 million of them were EVs. Using this data we can determine there are only about a million EVs ever parked in garages, statistically speaking. However that number could be even lower since there is so much fear mongering about EVs in garages. To me the risk of a EV fire is statistically much smaller than your risk of having a garage fire from another means. With over a million EVs on the road the news media would be bursting at the seams with garage fires related to EVs. Instead every single outlet clings to each individual story of an EV garage fire while ignoring the data. Statistically speaking the risk of an EV fire, particularly in a garage, is approaching zero.

Not exactly the least biased reference, but I like the way they have presented the data and where they referenced their data for garage fires:

https://elitegaragetacoma.us/faq-items/causes-garage-fires/

Number of EVs on the road reference:


Vehicle registration data:


how many people park in garage data:

https://www.strongtowns.org/journal...vey found that 37,front of almost every house.

Average garage fires per day:

 
  • Like
Reactions: Ashful
Status
Not open for further replies.