2026 severe weather

[EbS-P]

The GFS doesn’t do a good job at snowfall totals but. Even had this amount would shut NC down.

 

[EbS-P]

Medium green is 16”.

 

[EbS-P]

Forecast is calling for 4-8” at 15:1 ratio. (Temps Some high resolution models show areas just off shore getting twice that. If they move on shore we could dumped on

 

[Murray01]

Forecast is calling for 4-8” at 15:1 ratio. (Temps Some high resolution models show areas just off shore getting twice that. If they move on shore we could dumped on

15:1 ratio? Liquid water to snow ratio?

 

[EatenByLimestone]

I’ve seen the ratio thing mentioned a few times this year, but don’t remember it in the past. I wonder what changed, technology or preference, that made them want to start mentioning it now.

 

[Murray01]

15:1 sounds like wet, heavy snow. I think 10:1 is standard snow, unless it’s betting odds on the forecast accuracy. lol

 

[marty319]

Supposed to be our last cold day then a warmup. The osburn needs a break

 

[EbS-P]

15:1 ratio? Liquid water to snow ratio?

Yes. 15” snow to 1” liquid water.

 

[EbS-P]

I’ve seen the ratio thing mentioned a few times this year, but don’t remember it in the past. I wonder what changed, technology or preference, that made them want to start mentioning it now.

It’s been standard for a long time. It’s the only way you can get accurate snow depths is to get accurate ratios. Most models just predict liquid precipitation. Then they need a ratio to get snow accumulation. It’s really temperature dependent. Colder temps make fluffier snow and higher ratios. 8:1 is wet. Anything above 20:1 is fluffy/powdery.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

That makes sense.

 

[NickW]

That makes sense.

I never heard of it either, but completely makes sense.

 

[stoveliker]

15:1 sounds like wet, heavy snow. I think 10:1 is standard snow, unless it’s betting odds on the forecast accuracy. lol

Standard depends on where you are...
SC: wet
SK: powder

 

[begreen]

15:1 sounds like wet, heavy snow. I think 10:1 is standard snow, unless it’s betting odds on the forecast accuracy. lol

That's what I recall too.
5-8" for Hallsboro where my sister lives.

 

[stoveliker]

So Saturday to Sunday night it'll be 4 F with a wind chill of -23
Sunday the high will be 14 with a wind chill of -7.

I'll be flying to California for work on Sunday.
Where I'm going the high on Sunday is 82 F with a heat index (...!) of 83.

A swing in feels like temps of 106 F.
Talk about severe ...

 

[johneh]

We are back into the deep cold.
Friday, it snowed 5 inches, and it was a nice temperature of -2
At 6 am Saturday -25 Wind chill -39 Same again tomorrow
but dropping to _30 overnight with wind chills of -45 or
better. Good day for a good single malt and a warm fire
Stay warm

 

[Whitenuckler]

We are out of the deep freeze here. Lowest at night should be -8C. Still lots of snow, it never melted.

 

[GG Woody]

WTF easterners...
I'd like some winter too...
It's been spring here since Christmas, my dog exercise loop has even dried out a bunch, like drier than spring. I have burned way more fuel in my trials motorbike exercising the dog than all 5 beater snowmobiles combined. (and the snowmobiles are thirsty)
Severe weather for sure in the sense of severely tame, my least favorite weather is forest fire, hope we can keep some moisture through the spring. Meanwhile summarize the snowmobiles?

 

[begreen]

WTF easterners...
I'd like some winter too...
It's been spring here since Christmas, my dog exercise loop has even dried out a bunch, like drier than spring. I have burned way more fuel in my trials motorbike exercising the dog than all 5 beater snowmobiles combined. (and the snowmobiles are thirsty)
Severe weather for sure in the sense of severely tame, my least favorite weather is forest fire, hope we can keep some moisture through the spring. Meanwhile summarize the snowmobiles?

Yes, I am contending with weeds and mowing. Yesterday, honey bees were flocking around early cherry blossoms. Looks like some cooler weather is on the way next week and hopefully some rebuilding of the snowpack in the mountains.

 

[Burnin Since 1991]

WTF easterners...
I'd like some winter too...
It's been spring here since Christmas, my dog exercise loop has even dried out a bunch, like drier than spring. I have burned way more fuel in my trials motorbike exercising the dog than all 5 beater snowmobiles combined. (and the snowmobiles are thirsty)
Severe weather for sure in the sense of severely tame, my least favorite weather is forest fire, hope we can keep some moisture through the spring. Meanwhile summarize the snowmobiles?

come get'ya some!

 

[GG Woody]

come get'ya some!

My blower sends it, that's a bit optimistic though 🤣

 

[bogieb]

Snowed yesterday, but only 4.5" of fluffy stuff. Then the wind started coming up. It is currently -1*F with a windchill of -17*F. Daytime windchills are supposed to be in the mid -20F.

I'm where the red dot is and my weather conditions tend to be in between the -26 and -28 areas. Supposed to be like this thru Monday, then a warm up and wind will die down.

 

[begreen]

There's definitely a real winter back east this year.

 

[johneh]

Coldest I have seen it here in a long time, also more snow than usual.
Must have been something in the air, bought extra pallet of Pellets and put
in extra cord of firewood. Still colder than a penguin's butt -21 wind chill -35
tonight -30 and a wind chill of -45or more . Been a battle to keep this old farmhouse warm.
By the end of the week, they are calling for above 0 temps

 

[thewoodlands]

I think that there's another snow dropper heading for the east coast this weekend but it looks like our area won't get hit bad unless the forecast changes.

 

[bogieb]

I think that there's another snow dropper heading for the east coast this weekend but it looks like our area won't get hit bad unless the forecast changes.

I'm getting snow tonight, although only 2-4" if the forecasts are right. Further north in the state they are expected to get more.

Then yes, they are saying possible storm starting Sunday PM. Seems this year we've had a lot of storms Sunday into Monday. Makes the start of the work week morning commute exciting for those that don't WFH and aren't retired (or just work unconventional days).