India’s birthrate falls below replacement!

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EatenByLimestone

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There you go!


So, the amazing thing to me is the speed that it fell. 1975 the birth rate was over 5 per woman. Now it’s 1.9!

This will solve many, many issues. Fewer people, less pollution.
 
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There you go!


So, the amazing thing to me is the speed that it fell. 1975 the birth rate was over 5 per woman. Now it’s 1.9!

This will solve many, many issues. Fewer people, less pollution.

Don't hold your breath. It will take 30-40 years for those demographic benefits to actually arrive. The average age in India is just 28 years old.

What actually happened is an averting of much worse (hypothetical) pollution, crowding and infrastructure costs in the next 20 years. But demographers did not really expect that population to increase like that anyway. Demographic Transition Theory works.

In other news, I saw that the share of power in the Indian grid is 2X that in the US these days (15% versus 7% delivered energy). So much for 'the West will have to pay for all those developing countries to go green.' They are doing it themselves, and faster than we are, buying cheap panels from their neighbor. They might get to a 'low pollution' future faster than us too, through faster green tech adoption, rather than demographics.
 
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